MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Columbus Crew

Standing#16

Elo rating1474

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLLL

Expected goals1.70

ScheduledVSJuly 23, 2026
01:30

New York City FC

Standing#13

Elo rating1510

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LDWWL

Expected goals0.61

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Columbus Crew at 41%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 73%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (16.78%)
  • BTTSYes · 52.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52.5%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Columbus Crew41%
Draw32.1%
New York City FC27%

Main pickColumbus Crew41%

Confidence79.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Columbus Crew1.70
Expected total2.32
New York City FC0.61
47.5%Over 2.5

Over 47.5% Under 52.5%

52.9%BTTS

Yes 52.9% No 47.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X73%
X259%
1267.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 16.8%
  2. Likely score 2 - 0 — 14.3%
  3. Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.3%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.8%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 8.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Columbus Crew 54.1%New York City FC 18.2%

Draw no bet

Columbus Crew 60.3%New York City FC 39.7%

Win to nil

Columbus Crew 43.9%New York City FC 8%

Win by 2+ goals

Columbus Crew 36.3%New York City FC 2.9%

Columbus Crew vs New York City FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?

The early estimate gives Columbus Crew a slight edge at 41%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (16.78%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Columbus Crew vs New York City FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Columbus Crew sits 16th and New York City FC 13th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1474 for Columbus Crew and 1510 for New York City FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Columbus Crew and 46.7% for New York City FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Columbus Crew 41%, the draw 32.1% and New York City FC 27%. The expected-goals model projects 1.70 xG against 0.61, for a combined 2.32.