MLS · Scheduled

First AI projection for Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC

First AI projection for this MLS fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC and today's matchesAll MLS predictions
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Austin FC

Standing#15

Elo rating1417

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLDW

Expected goals0.75

ScheduledVSJuly 23, 2026
02:30

Seattle Sounders FC

Standing#8

Elo rating1560

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
LLWDD

Expected goals0.73

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Seattle Sounders FC at 42.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 77.1%
  • Likely score0 - 0 (22.70%)
  • BTTSNo · 54.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 61.3%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Austin FC22.9%
Draw34.5%
Seattle Sounders FC42.6%

Main pickSeattle Sounders FC42.6%

Confidence51.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Austin FC0.75
Expected total1.48
Seattle Sounders FC0.73
38.7%Over 2.5

Over 38.7% Under 61.3%

45.4%BTTS

Yes 45.4% No 54.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X57.4%
X277.1%
1265.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 0 — 22.7%
  2. Likely score 1 - 0 — 17%
  3. Likely score 0 - 1 — 16.6%
  4. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.5%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 6.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Austin FC 48.1%Seattle Sounders FC 47.2%

Draw no bet

Austin FC 35%Seattle Sounders FC 65%

Win to nil

Austin FC 24.6%Seattle Sounders FC 23.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Austin FC 9.4%Seattle Sounders FC 8.8%

Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC?

The early estimate gives Seattle Sounders FC a slight edge at 42.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 0 - 0 (22.70%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

MLS

What the data says about Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC

This MLS fixture comes from a competition where conference dynamics, travel and swings in form can create quick changes in performance.

Before kick-off, Austin FC sits 15th and Seattle Sounders FC 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1417 for Austin FC and 1560 for Seattle Sounders FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Austin FC and 33.3% for Seattle Sounders FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Austin FC 22.9%, the draw 34.5% and Seattle Sounders FC 42.6%. The expected-goals model projects 0.75 xG against 0.73, for a combined 1.48.