Ligue 1 · Full time

Prediction for OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Étienne

Ligue 1 AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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OGC Nice

Standing#16

Elo rating1452

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
DDLDD

Expected goals0.52

Full time4 - 1May 29, 2026
20:45

AS Saint-Étienne

Standing#19

Elo rating1512

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DD

Expected goals0.76

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for OGC Nice at 56.2%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 82.2%
  • Likely score0 - 0 (27.80%)
  • BTTSYes · 54.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53.8%

1X2 probabilities

OGC Nice56.2%
Draw26%
AS Saint-Étienne17.8%

Main pickOGC Nice56.2%

Confidence80.7%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

OGC Nice0.52
Expected total1.28
AS Saint-Étienne0.76
53.8%Over 2.5

Over 53.8% Under 46.2%

54.3%BTTS

Yes 54.3% No 45.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X82.2%
X243.8%
1274%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 027.8%
  2. Likely score 0 - 121.1%
  3. Likely score 1 - 014.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 111%
  5. Likely score 0 - 28%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

OGC Nice 46.8%AS Saint-Étienne 59.4%

Draw no bet

OGC Nice 76%AS Saint-Étienne 24%

Win to nil

OGC Nice 19.1%AS Saint-Étienne 31.6%

Win by 2+ goals

OGC Nice 5.1%AS Saint-Étienne 11.8%
Post-match review · Final score4 - 1

Verified predictionCorrect

OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Étienne prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Étienne?

The model gives OGC Nice the edge at 56.2%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 0 (27.80%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 54.3% and BTTS No at 45.7%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 82.2%, without being certain.

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Ligue 1

What the data says about OGC Nice vs AS Saint-Étienne

This fixture is part of the French top flight, where league position, recent momentum and chance conversion help frame the balance of power.

Before kick-off, OGC Nice sits 16th and AS Saint-Étienne 19th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1452 for OGC Nice and 1512 for AS Saint-Étienne.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for OGC Nice and 33.3% for AS Saint-Étienne. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives OGC Nice 56.2%, the draw 26% and AS Saint-Étienne 17.8%. The expected-goals model projects 0.52 xG against 0.76, for a combined 1.28.