La Liga · Scheduled

Prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés

La Liga AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Rayo Vallecano

Standing#19

Elo rating1553

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
LWWDD

Expected goals1.33

ScheduledVS

Deportivo Alavés

Standing#1

Elo rating1484

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
WLWWD

Expected goals1.18

Match context to watch
Draw closeRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Rayo Vallecano at 37.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 69.4%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.50%)
  • BTTSYes · 55.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.7%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Rayo Vallecano37.9%
Draw31.5%
Deportivo Alavés30.6%

Main pickRayo Vallecano37.9%

Confidence44.6%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Rayo Vallecano1.33
Expected total2.51
Deportivo Alavés1.18
49.3%Over 2.5

Over 49.3% Under 50.7%

55.4%BTTS

Yes 55.4% No 44.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X69.4%
X262.1%
1268.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 112.5%
  2. Likely score 2 - 110.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 010.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 010%
  5. Likely score 1 - 29.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Rayo Vallecano 29.7%Deportivo Alavés 25.6%

Draw no bet

Rayo Vallecano 55.3%Deportivo Alavés 44.7%

Win to nil

Rayo Vallecano 19%Deportivo Alavés 15%

Win by 2+ goals

Rayo Vallecano 15.9%Deportivo Alavés 11.3%

Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés?

The model sees an open match and gives Rayo Vallecano a slight edge at 37.9%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (12.50%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.4% and BTTS No at 44.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 69.4%, without being certain.

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La Liga

What the data says about Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés

This La Liga fixture can be read through ball control, chance quality and each team's ability to manage difficult spells.

Before kick-off, Rayo Vallecano sits 19th and Deportivo Alavés 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1553 for Rayo Vallecano and 1484 for Deportivo Alavés.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Rayo Vallecano and 66.7% for Deportivo Alavés. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Rayo Vallecano 37.9%, the draw 31.5% and Deportivo Alavés 30.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.33 xG against 1.18, for a combined 2.51.