Foresportia Elo
1558La Liga rank : 14th
Rayo Vallecano
Foresportia analyses Rayo Vallecano using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
54.2%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano have taken 5 points from a possible 15 across the last five recorded matches in La Liga. The team have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
La Liga · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Rayo Vallecano
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Rayo VallecanoElo : 1511
FC ValenciaElo : 1476
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Rayo Vallecano 38%Draw 33%FC Valencia 28%
3. Prediction reliability for Rayo Vallecano
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 31.2% | 16 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 40.0% | 20 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 37.5% | 24 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 38.5% | 26 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 32.3% | 31 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 36.4% | 33 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 38.9% | 36 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 41.0% | 39 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 40.0% | 40 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 40.9% | 44 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 42.6% | 47 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 40.8% | 49 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 40.4% | 52 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 42.9% | 56 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 39.3% | 61 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 39.7% | 63 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 40.0% | 65 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 39.7% | 68 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 40.6% | 69 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 16 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
4. Predictive profile for Rayo Vallecano
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.52 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.07 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Rayo Vallecano
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 86 verified matches
6. Market signals for Rayo Vallecano
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X74.0%88.9%27Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score52.7%66.7%12Success above the average probability
Double chance 1269.4%64.3%28Recurring signal
Home win65.8%66.7%6Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Rayo Vallecano
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Rayo Vallecano
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Rayo Vallecano
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Rayo Vallecano mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Rayo Vallecano still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Rayo Vallecano vs FC Valencia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 38%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 76.5% success across 17 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Rayo Vallecano FAQ
What is the next match for Rayo Vallecano on Foresportia?
This page shows Rayo Vallecano's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Rayo Vallecano's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Rayo Vallecano's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Rayo Vallecano?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Rayo Vallecano, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Rayo Vallecano: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Rayo Vallecano mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Rayo Vallecano still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Rayo Vallecano vs FC Valencia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 38%.