Relative strengthSlight edge for UD Almería
Prediction for FC Córdoba vs UD Almería
FC CórdobaView team →LWLDL30.5%FC Córdoba
25.1%Draw
44.4%UD Almería
UD AlmeríaView team →LLWLDVERDICTUD Almería slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that UD Almería has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give UD Almería a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 69.5%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 43.3%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 69.5%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
FC Córdoba30.5%Draw25.1%
UD Almería44.4%Main pickUD Almería
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence43.3%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 74.9% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | UD Almería | 59.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 67.6% | Solid |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 82.9% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.48FC Córdoba
Total xG3.32
Expected goals (xG)1.83UD Almería
Under 2.5 probability32.4%
BTTS No probability34.3%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 210.8%2 - 18.7%1 - 17.8%2 - 26.9%0 - 16.6%
Advanced scenarios
FC CórdobaUD Almería16.6%
Clean sheet22.9%
11.4%
Win to nil17.7%
13.5%
Win by 2 goals or more23.9%
Team comparison
18thCurrent position16th
1460Elo1531
LWLDLForm (last 5)LLWLD
1.2Goals scored / match (5)0.8
2.0Goals conceded / match (5)0.8
0.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
44.9%
44.9% correct predictions
over 788 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for FC Córdoba vs UD Almería?
The Foresportia model gives UD Almería a slight edge at 44.4%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (10.75%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 65.7% and BTTS No at 34.3%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 69.5%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about FC Córdoba vs UD Almería
This La Liga 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, FC Córdoba sits 18th and UD Almería 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1460 for FC Córdoba and 1531 for UD Almería.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for FC Córdoba and 26.7% for UD Almería. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives FC Córdoba 30.5%, the draw 25.1% and UD Almería 44.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.48 xG against 1.83, for a combined 3.32. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 10.8%.