Logo UD Almería

UD Almería

SpainLa Liga 22026-2027

Foresportia analyses UD Almería using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1611La Liga 2 rank : 1st
1X2 entropy
1.51Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
0.00Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
3.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
51.0%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: UD Almería

UD Almería are enjoying a positive run, taking 15 points from the last five recorded matches in La Liga 2. With 12 goals scored and 3 conceded, the team combine a productive attack with a solid defense over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

La Liga 2 · 2026-2027 · 6 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
203
103
213
303
423

1. How Foresportia evaluates UD Almería

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1611Foresportia EloLa Liga 2 rank : 1st
1.511X2 entropyLower = easier to read
0.00Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
3.00Recent formpoints / match
51.0%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

La Liga 2

UD AlmeríaElo : 1625
VS
Real OviedoElo : 1498
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
48%28%24%
UD Almería 48%Draw 28%Real Oviedo 24%
Main signalHome win · 48%
Model confidence54.9%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for UD Almería

Data updated on 21 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
91.7%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample6
2024-10Risk30.0%10
2024-11Risk36.4%11
2024-12Risk30.8%13
2025-01Risk33.3%15
2025-02Risk27.8%18
2025-03Risk30.4%23
2025-04Risk32.0%25
2025-05Risk29.6%27
2025-06Risk29.6%27
2025-08Risk31.0%29
2025-09Risk37.5%32
2025-10Risk37.1%35
2025-11Risk36.1%36
2025-12Risk35.1%37
2026-01Risk35.0%40
2026-02Risk35.7%42
2026-03Risk36.4%44
2026-04Risk37.5%48
2026-05Risk35.3%51
2026-06Risk34.5%55
2026-09Risk35.7%56
2026-10Risk37.9%58
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-02Correct and above80.0%10
2025-03Correct and above80.0%10
2025-04Correct and above83.3%12
2025-05Correct and above85.7%14
2025-06Correct and above86.7%15
2025-08Correct and above81.2%16
2025-09Correct and above82.4%17
2025-10Correct and above83.3%18
2025-11Correct and above81.8%22
2025-12Correct and above79.2%24
2026-01Correct and above80.0%25
2026-02Correct and above82.1%28
2026-03Correct and above83.3%30
2026-04Correct and above83.9%31
2026-05Correct and above84.8%33
2026-06Correct and above84.8%33
2026-09Correct and above82.9%35
2026-10Correct and above83.3%36
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-06Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-12Stable and above90.0%10
2026-01Stable and above90.9%11
2026-02Stable and above90.9%11
2026-03Stable and above91.7%12
2026-04Stable and above91.7%12
2026-05Stable and above91.7%12
2026-06Stable and above91.7%12
2026-09Stable and above91.7%12
2026-10Stable and above91.7%12
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-06Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-06Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample9

4. Predictive profile for UD Almería

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.23 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.30 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for UD Almería

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.54
Expected goals conceded at home0.95
Expected goals created away1.27
Expected goals conceded away0.97
Goals scored / match (5)2.40
Goals conceded / match (5)0.60

History: 94 verified matches

6. Market signals for UD Almería

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Home win57.0%100.0%11Success above the average probability
Double chance 1273.5%87.9%33Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet71.5%83.3%18Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X70.5%77.4%31Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.559.3%68.2%22Success above the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
UD Almería
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
UD Almería
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, UD Almería mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

UD Almería is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.14.

The next detected match is UD Almería vs Real Oviedo on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 91.7% success across 12 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore La Liga 2League calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. UD Almería FAQ

What is the next match for UD Almería on Foresportia?

This page shows UD Almería's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read UD Almería's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for UD Almería's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for UD Almería?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for UD Almería, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

UD Almería: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, UD Almería mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

UD Almería is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.14.

The next detected match is UD Almería vs Real Oviedo on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 48%.