Logo UD Almería

UD Almería

SpainLa Liga 22026-2027

Foresportia analyses UD Almería using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1576La Liga 2 rank : 3rd
1X2 entropy
1.54Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
50.8%Average over 10 predictions

1. How Foresportia evaluates UD Almería

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1576Foresportia EloLa Liga 2 rank : 3rd
1.541X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.60Recent formpoints / match
50.8%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

La Liga 2

UD AlmeríaElo : 1531
VS
Cádiz CFElo : 1384
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
57%25%19%
UD Almería 57%Draw 25%Cádiz CF 19%
Main signalHome win · 57%
Model confidence61.2%
StabilityCorrect and above
View match details

3. Prediction reliability for UD Almería

Data updated on 06 September 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
91.7%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample6
2024-10Risk30.0%10
2024-11Risk36.4%11
2024-12Risk30.8%13
2025-01Risk33.3%15
2025-02Risk27.8%18
2025-03Risk30.4%23
2025-04Risk32.0%25
2025-05Risk29.6%27
2025-06Risk29.6%27
2025-08Risk31.0%29
2025-09Risk37.5%32
2025-10Risk37.1%35
2025-11Risk36.1%36
2025-12Risk35.1%37
2026-01Risk35.0%40
2026-02Risk35.7%42
2026-03Risk36.4%44
2026-04Risk37.5%48
2026-05Risk35.3%51
2026-06Risk34.5%55
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-02Correct and above80.0%10
2025-03Correct and above80.0%10
2025-04Correct and above83.3%12
2025-05Correct and above85.7%14
2025-06Correct and above86.7%15
2025-08Correct and above81.2%16
2025-09Correct and above82.4%17
2025-10Correct and above83.3%18
2025-11Correct and above81.8%22
2025-12Correct and above79.2%24
2026-01Correct and above80.0%25
2026-02Correct and above82.1%28
2026-03Correct and above83.3%30
2026-04Correct and above83.9%31
2026-05Correct and above84.8%33
2026-06Correct and above84.8%33
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-06Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-12Stable and above90.0%10
2026-01Stable and above90.9%11
2026-02Stable and above90.9%11
2026-03Stable and above91.7%12
2026-04Stable and above91.7%12
2026-05Stable and above91.7%12
2026-06Stable and above91.7%12
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-06Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample7
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample8
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample9
2026-06Ultra stableInsufficient sample9

4. Predictive profile for UD Almería

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.18 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.18 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for UD Almería

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.54
Expected goals conceded at home0.99
Expected goals created away1.18
Expected goals conceded away1.03
Goals scored / match (5)1.20
Goals conceded / match (5)1.00

History: 88 verified matches

6. Market signals for UD Almería

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Home win57.5%100.0%8Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1273.7%84.6%26Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet71.0%84.6%13Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X69.1%80.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.559.0%68.8%16Success above the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
UD Almería
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
UD Almería
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, UD Almería mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

UD Almería still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is UD Almería vs Cádiz CF on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 57%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Stable and above: 91.7% success across 12 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. UD Almería FAQ

What is the next match for UD Almería on Foresportia?

This page shows UD Almería's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read UD Almería's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for UD Almería's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for UD Almería?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for UD Almería, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

UD Almería: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, UD Almería mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

UD Almería still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is UD Almería vs Cádiz CF on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 57%.