J1 League · Full time

Prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki

J1 League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Mito Hollyhock

Standing#9

Elo rating1415

Form index0%

Last 5 matches
LLLLL

Expected goals1.44

Full time0 - 1June 6, 2026
08:00

V-varen Nagasaki

Standing#9

Elo rating1450

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLDLW

Expected goals1.35

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for V-varen Nagasaki at 53%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 81.2%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (11.94%)
  • BTTSYes · 53.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.2%

1X2 probabilities

Mito Hollyhock18.9%
Draw28.2%
V-varen Nagasaki53%

Main pickV-varen Nagasaki53%

Confidence62.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Mito Hollyhock1.44
Expected total2.79
V-varen Nagasaki1.35
50.2%Over 2.5

Over 50.2% Under 49.8%

53.1%BTTS

Yes 53.1% No 46.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X47%
X281.2%
1271.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 111.9%
  2. Likely score 1 - 08.8%
  3. Likely score 2 - 18.6%
  4. Likely score 0 - 18.3%
  5. Likely score 1 - 28.1%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Mito Hollyhock 25.8%V-varen Nagasaki 23.6%

Draw no bet

Mito Hollyhock 26.2%V-varen Nagasaki 73.8%

Win to nil

Mito Hollyhock 19.5%V-varen Nagasaki 17.4%

Win by 2+ goals

Mito Hollyhock 18.6%V-varen Nagasaki 15.9%
Post-match review · Final score0 - 1

Verified predictionCorrect

Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki?

The model sees an open match and gives V-varen Nagasaki a slight edge at 53%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.94%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 53.1% and BTTS No at 46.9%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 81.2%, without being certain.

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J1 League

What the data says about Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki

This J1 League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Mito Hollyhock sits 9th and V-varen Nagasaki 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1415 for Mito Hollyhock and 1450 for V-varen Nagasaki.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 0% for Mito Hollyhock and 46.7% for V-varen Nagasaki. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Mito Hollyhock 18.9%, the draw 28.2% and V-varen Nagasaki 53%. The expected-goals model projects 1.44 xG against 1.35, for a combined 2.79.