J1 League · Full time

Prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus

J1 League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Machida Zelvia

Standing#3

Elo rating1572

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
DWDDW

Expected goals1.88

Full time2 - 1June 6, 2026
08:00

Nagoya Grampus

Standing#3

Elo rating1509

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DLLWW

Expected goals0.95

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Machida Zelvia at 46.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 76.7%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (11.07%)
  • BTTSYes · 54.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.3%

1X2 probabilities

Machida Zelvia46.9%
Draw29.8%
Nagoya Grampus23.3%

Main pickMachida Zelvia46.9%

Confidence66.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Machida Zelvia1.88
Expected total2.83
Nagoya Grampus0.95
49.7%Over 2.5

Over 49.7% Under 50.3%

54.5%BTTS

Yes 54.5% No 45.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X76.7%
X253.1%
1270.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 011.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 110.6%
  3. Likely score 2 - 010.4%
  4. Likely score 2 - 19.9%
  5. Likely score 3 - 06.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Machida Zelvia 38.4%Nagoya Grampus 15.3%

Draw no bet

Machida Zelvia 66.9%Nagoya Grampus 33.1%

Win to nil

Machida Zelvia 32.4%Nagoya Grampus 9.3%

Win by 2+ goals

Machida Zelvia 34.6%Nagoya Grampus 6.3%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 1

Verified predictionCorrect

Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus?

The model sees an open match and gives Machida Zelvia a slight edge at 46.9%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (11.07%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 54.5% and BTTS No at 45.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 76.7%, without being certain.

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J1 League

What the data says about Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus

This J1 League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Machida Zelvia sits 3rd and Nagoya Grampus 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1572 for Machida Zelvia and 1509 for Nagoya Grampus.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 60% for Machida Zelvia and 46.7% for Nagoya Grampus. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Machida Zelvia 46.9%, the draw 29.8% and Nagoya Grampus 23.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.88 xG against 0.95, for a combined 2.83.