J1 League · Full time

Prediction for FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka

J1 League AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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FC Tokyo

Standing#2

Elo rating1586

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DLDWL

Expected goals1.52

Full time1 - 3June 6, 2026
07:00

Cerezo Osaka

Standing#2

Elo rating1554

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWWD

Expected goals1.20

Match context to watch
Ranking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Tokyo at 38.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67.5%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.02%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54.5%

1X2 probabilities

FC Tokyo38.7%
Draw28.9%
Cerezo Osaka32.5%

Main pickFC Tokyo38.7%

Confidence39.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Tokyo1.52
Expected total2.72
Cerezo Osaka1.20
54.5%Over 2.5

Over 54.5% Under 45.5%

58.7%BTTS

Yes 58.7% No 41.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67.5%
X261.3%
1271.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 112%
  2. Likely score 1 - 010%
  3. Likely score 2 - 19.1%
  4. Likely score 0 - 17.9%
  5. Likely score 2 - 07.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Tokyo 29.9%Cerezo Osaka 21.9%

Draw no bet

FC Tokyo 54.4%Cerezo Osaka 45.6%

Win to nil

FC Tokyo 23.2%Cerezo Osaka 15.2%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Tokyo 22.2%Cerezo Osaka 12.4%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 3

Verified predictionIncorrect

FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka?

The model sees an open match and gives FC Tokyo a slight edge at 38.7%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (12.02%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.7% and BTTS No at 41.3%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 67.5%, without being certain.

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J1 League

What the data says about FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka

This J1 League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Tokyo sits 2nd and Cerezo Osaka 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1586 for FC Tokyo and 1554 for Cerezo Osaka.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for FC Tokyo and 73.3% for Cerezo Osaka. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Tokyo 38.7%, the draw 28.9% and Cerezo Osaka 32.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.52 xG against 1.20, for a combined 2.72.