Relative strengthAdvantage NEC Nijmegen
Prediction for SC Cambuur Leeuwarden vs NEC Nijmegen
SC Cambuur LeeuwardenDLLLL14.8%SC Cambuur Leeuwarden
21.8%Draw
63.4%NEC Nijmegen
NEC NijmegenView team →DLWWLVERDICTModerate edge for NEC Nijmegen
Foresportia's analysis estimates that NEC Nijmegen has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give NEC Nijmegen a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 85.2%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 65%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 85.2%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage NEC Nijmegen
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceHigh
Probabilities & verdict
SC Cambuur Leeuwarden14.8%Draw21.8%
NEC Nijmegen63.4%Main pickNEC Nijmegen
1X2 STABILITYCorrect
Model confidence65%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 85.2% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | NEC Nijmegen | 81% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | Solid |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 84.2% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)0.99SC Cambuur Leeuwarden
Total xG3.28
Expected goals (xG)2.29NEC Nijmegen
Under 2.5 probability31.8%
BTTS No probability37.3%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 214.2%1 - 39.2%1 - 18.4%0 - 17.9%0 - 37.5%
Advanced scenarios
SC Cambuur LeeuwardenNEC Nijmegen9.3%
Clean sheet33%
4.3%
Win to nil27.9%
3.3%
Win by 2 goals or more41.2%
Team comparison
SC Cambuur LeeuwardenNEC Nijmegen18thCurrent position9th
1375Elo1582
DLLLLForm (last 5)DLWWL
1.2Goals scored / match (5)2.2
3.6Goals conceded / match (5)1.8
0.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
Prediction reliability
The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
75.9%
75.9% correct predictions
over 87 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for SC Cambuur Leeuwarden vs NEC Nijmegen?
The Foresportia model gives NEC Nijmegen a moderate edge at 63.4%. This estimate does not guarantee the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (14.15%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.7% and BTTS No at 37.3%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 85.2%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about SC Cambuur Leeuwarden vs NEC Nijmegen
This Eredivisie fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, SC Cambuur Leeuwarden sits 18th and NEC Nijmegen 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1375 for SC Cambuur Leeuwarden and 1582 for NEC Nijmegen.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for SC Cambuur Leeuwarden and 46.7% for NEC Nijmegen. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives SC Cambuur Leeuwarden 14.8%, the draw 21.8% and NEC Nijmegen 63.4%. The expected-goals model projects 0.99 xG against 2.29, for a combined 3.28. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 14.2%.