Foresportia Elo
1612Eredivisie rank : 7th
NEC Nijmegen
Foresportia analyses NEC Nijmegen using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
54.8%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates NEC Nijmegen
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
NEC NijmegenElo : 1587
Excelsior RotterdamElo : 1538
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
NEC Nijmegen 46%Draw 28%Excelsior Rotterdam 26%
3. Prediction reliability for NEC Nijmegen
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 35.7% | 14 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 35.3% | 17 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 42.1% | 19 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 38.1% | 21 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 38.1% | 21 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 34.8% | 23 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 36.0% | 25 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 39.3% | 28 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for NEC Nijmegen
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.68 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.67 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for NEC Nijmegen
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 37 verified matches
6. Market signals for NEC Nijmegen
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Both teams to score56.9%84.6%13Success above the average probability
Double chance X266.4%80.0%15Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.556.7%71.4%14Success above the average probability
Double chance 1274.1%69.6%23Confirmed signal
Double chance 1X70.5%61.9%21Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
NEC Nijmegen
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
NEC Nijmegen
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
NEC Nijmegen
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
NEC Nijmegen
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, NEC Nijmegen still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
NEC Nijmegen still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Rotterdam on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 46%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. NEC Nijmegen FAQ
What is the next match for NEC Nijmegen on Foresportia?
This page shows NEC Nijmegen's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read NEC Nijmegen's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for NEC Nijmegen's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for NEC Nijmegen?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for NEC Nijmegen, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
NEC Nijmegen: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, NEC Nijmegen still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
NEC Nijmegen still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Rotterdam on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 46%.