Relative strengthBalanced
First AI projection for Vålerenga Fotball Elite vs Fredrikstad FK
Vålerenga Fotball EliteView team →DLLWW39.9%Vålerenga Fotball Elite
30.6%Draw
29.5%Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FKView team →WWWLLVERDICTVålerenga Fotball Elite slight favourite
The models give Vålerenga Fotball Elite a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 70.5%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick.
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence 48.9%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 70.5%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for Fredrikstad FK
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Vålerenga Fotball Elite39.9%Draw30.6%
Fredrikstad FK29.5%Main pickVålerenga Fotball Elite
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence48.9%
1X2 alternatives
MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1X70.5%Most robust signal
Draw no betVålerenga Fotball Elite57.5%Interesting
Total goalsUnder 2.552.2%Neutral
Both teams to scoreYes53.2%Neutral
Total goalsUnder 3.576.9%Solid
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.32Vålerenga Fotball Elite
Total xG2.43
Expected goals (xG)1.11Fredrikstad FK
Under 2.5 probability52.2%
BTTS No probability46.8%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 112%0 - 011.8%2 - 110.9%1 - 010.7%1 - 28.9%
Advanced scenarios
Vålerenga Fotball EliteFredrikstad FK32.3%
Clean sheet26.4%
20.4%
Win to nil14.6%
16.6%
Win by 2 goals or more10.1%
Team comparison
11thCurrent position8th
1476Elo1500
DLLWWForm (last 5)WWWLL
3.0Goals scored / match (5)0.6
2.6Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
0.0Clean sheets (5)60.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
52.9%
52.9% correct predictions
over 272 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Vålerenga Fotball Elite vs Fredrikstad FK?
The early estimate gives Vålerenga Fotball Elite a slight edge at 39.9%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.03%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Vålerenga Fotball Elite vs Fredrikstad FK
This Eliteserien fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Vålerenga Fotball Elite sits 11th and Fredrikstad FK 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1476 for Vålerenga Fotball Elite and 1500 for Fredrikstad FK.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Vålerenga Fotball Elite and 60% for Fredrikstad FK. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Vålerenga Fotball Elite 39.9%, the draw 30.6% and Fredrikstad FK 29.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.32 xG against 1.11, for a combined 2.43.