Foresportia Elo
1523Eliteserien rank : 8th
Fredrikstad FK
Foresportia analyses Fredrikstad FK using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
52.8%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK are going through a difficult run, taking 3 points from the last five recorded matches in Eliteserien. Their defense needs attention: 8 goals conceded against 6 scored.
Eliteserien · 2026 · 23 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Fredrikstad FK
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Molde FKElo : 1597
Fredrikstad FKElo : 1518
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Molde FK 54%Draw 27%Fredrikstad FK 20%
3. Prediction reliability for Fredrikstad FK
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 46.7% | 15 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 47.1% | 17 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 45.0% | 20 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 45.8% | 24 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 48.0% | 25 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 50.0% | 26 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 52.9% | 34 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 52.8% | 36 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 55.0% | 40 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 53.5% | 43 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 52.3% | 44 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
4. Predictive profile for Fredrikstad FK
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.65 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.04 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Fredrikstad FK
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 53 verified matches
6. Market signals for Fredrikstad FK
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X72.2%81.8%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1271.4%79.2%24Major, well-documented signal
Home win69.2%100.0%4Promising signal, limited sample
Over 2.553.9%85.7%7Promising signal, limited sample
Both teams to score52.9%70.0%20Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Fredrikstad FK
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Fredrikstad FK
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Fredrikstad FK
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Fredrikstad FK
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Fredrikstad FK mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Fredrikstad FK still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Molde FK vs Fredrikstad FK on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 54%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Fredrikstad FK FAQ
What is the next match for Fredrikstad FK on Foresportia?
This page shows Fredrikstad FK's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Fredrikstad FK's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Fredrikstad FK's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Fredrikstad FK?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Fredrikstad FK, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Fredrikstad FK: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Fredrikstad FK mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Fredrikstad FK still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Molde FK vs Fredrikstad FK on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 54%.