Eliteserien · Matchday 22 · Season 2026 · ScheduledAker Stadion, Molde

First AI projection for Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK

Molde FKView team →WLDWL
1X2 PREDICTION BALANCE
69.7%Molde FK
19.8%Draw
10.5%Aalesunds FK
Aalesunds FKView team →DDLDL
VERDICTMolde FK favourite

The models give Molde FK a clear edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 89.5%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick.

1X2 STABILITYStable
Model confidence 96.7%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 89.5%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.

Why the model sees it this way

Relative strengthAdvantage Molde FK
Recent formAdvantage Molde FK
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityHigh
Model confidenceVery high

Probabilities & verdict

Molde FK69.7%
Draw19.8%
Aalesunds FK10.5%

Main pickMolde FK

1X2 STABILITYStable

Model confidence96.7%

1X2 alternatives

MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1X89.5%Most robust signal
Draw no betMolde FK86.9%Solid
Total goalsOver 2.560.9%Interesting
Both teams to scoreYes53.4%Neutral
Total goalsOver 1.579.9%Solid
View all markets →

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

How the match could unfold

Expected goals (xG)2.22Molde FK

Total xG3.01

Expected goals (xG)0.79Aalesunds FK

Under 2.5 probability39.1%

BTTS No probability46.6%

Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.7%1 - 010.5%2 - 09.3%3 - 08.9%1 - 18.8%

Advanced scenarios

Molde FKAalesunds FK
42.3%
Clean sheet
10.7%
36%
Win to nil
4.4%
43.9%
Win by 2 goals or more
2.3%
Learn more about our scenarios →

Team comparison

Molde FKAalesunds FK
4thCurrent position15th
1557Elo1434
WLDWLForm (last 5)DDLDL
2.4Goals scored / match (5)2.0
2.2Goals conceded / match (5)3.8
0.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
View the detailed comparison ›

Prediction reliability

Stable profile

The signal belongs to a historically stable profile, without guaranteeing the outcome.

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCEStable profile
87.8%

87.8% correct predictions
over 74 verified matches

Learn more about our methodology →
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE100%90%80%0153044597487.8%Number of matches

Quick FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK?

The early estimate gives Molde FK a slight edge at 69.7%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.65%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

Explore more on Foresportia

Follow Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK and today's matchesScores, kick-off times and fixtures updated periodically on direct.html.›All Eliteserien predictionsExplore more Eliteserien fixtures and AI analysis.›Eliteserien standingsSee where Molde FK and Aalesunds FK sit in the current table.›Compare Molde FK and Aalesunds FK formReview both teams' recent momentum and match sequences.›Eliteserien results and fixturesBrowse previous scores and upcoming matches from the competition.›Other matches on September 19, 2026Browse the matches and predictions available on this date.›Compare with the top AI predictionsPlace this fixture alongside the strongest current model signals.›Molde FK and Aalesunds FK team pagesOpen team profiles, statistics and upcoming fixtures.›

Our commitment

◇ Predictions archived before kick-off

◇ No invented data

What the data says about Molde FK vs Aalesunds FK

This Eliteserien fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Molde FK sits 4th and Aalesunds FK 15th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1557 for Molde FK and 1434 for Aalesunds FK.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Molde FK and 20% for Aalesunds FK. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Molde FK 69.7%, the draw 19.8% and Aalesunds FK 10.5%. The expected-goals model projects 2.22 xG against 0.79, for a combined 3.01.