Foresportia Elo
1586Eliteserien rank : 3rd
Molde FK
Foresportia analyses Molde FK using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.42Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
62.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Molde FK
Molde FK are enjoying a positive run, taking 10 points from the last five recorded matches in Eliteserien. Their attack is productive, with 16 goals scored against 6 conceded.
Eliteserien · 2026 · 23 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 6 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Molde FK
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Molde FKElo : 1597
Fredrikstad FKElo : 1518
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Molde FK 54%Draw 27%Fredrikstad FK 20%
3. Prediction reliability for Molde FK
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
73.3%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 41.2% | 17 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 40.0% | 20 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 38.1% | 21 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 38.1% | 21 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 40.9% | 22 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 24 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 38.5% | 26 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 37.9% | 29 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 40.6% | 32 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 42.4% | 33 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 41.2% | 34 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 68.8% | 16 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 66.7% | 18 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 68.4% | 19 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
4. Predictive profile for Molde FK
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.85 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.12 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Molde FK
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 53 verified matches
6. Market signals for Molde FK
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1274.5%83.3%24Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.555.7%77.8%18Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score55.3%71.4%21Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X75.2%66.7%18Success below the average probability
Home draw no bet73.7%64.3%14Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Molde FK
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Molde FK
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Molde FK
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Molde FK
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Molde FK mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Molde FK is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.62.
The next detected match is Molde FK vs Fredrikstad FK on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 54%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Stable and above: 73.3% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Molde FK FAQ
What is the next match for Molde FK on Foresportia?
This page shows Molde FK's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Molde FK's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Molde FK's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Molde FK?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Molde FK, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Molde FK: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Molde FK mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Molde FK is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.62.
The next detected match is Molde FK vs Fredrikstad FK on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 54%.