Relative strengthSlight edge for Henan FC
Prediction for Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan FC
Wuhan Three TownsView team →DWDLD36.3%Wuhan Three Towns
31.1%Draw
32.6%Henan FC
Henan FCView team →DDLDDVERDICTVery balanced match
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Wuhan Three Towns has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The 1X2 probabilities are very close and do not identify a clear favourite. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 67.4%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 35.9%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 67.4%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for Wuhan Three Towns
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Wuhan Three Towns36.3%Draw31.1%
Henan FC32.6%Main pickWuhan Three Towns
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence35.9%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 68.9% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Wuhan Three Towns | 52.7% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 59% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 76.4% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.43Wuhan Three Towns
Total xG2.78
Expected goals (xG)1.35Henan FC
Under 2.5 probability41%
BTTS No probability38.1%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.2%1 - 211.4%1 - 110.3%0 - 08.6%1 - 07.8%
Advanced scenarios
Wuhan Three TownsHenan FC24.3%
Clean sheet22.4%
15.7%
Win to nil13.8%
15.7%
Win by 2 goals or more13.2%
Team comparison
15thCurrent position12th
1482Elo1530
DWDLDForm (last 5)DDLDD
2.0Goals scored / match (5)1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)2.0
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
40.9%
40.9% correct predictions
over 281 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan FC?
The Foresportia model sees a very balanced match. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (12.22%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 61.9% and BTTS No at 38.1%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 67.4%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan FC
This Chinese Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Wuhan Three Towns sits 15th and Henan FC 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1482 for Wuhan Three Towns and 1530 for Henan FC.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Wuhan Three Towns and 26.7% for Henan FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Wuhan Three Towns 36.3%, the draw 31.1% and Henan FC 32.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.43 xG against 1.35, for a combined 2.78. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.2%.