
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Standing#14
Elo rating1580
Form index80%
Pre-match projected goals1.95

Beijing Guoan
Standing#5
Elo rating1631
Form index73.3%
Pre-match projected goals1.77
Prediction review
- Main pick
- Beijing Guoan
- Pick result
- Correct
- Published probability
- 45.5%
- Final-score rank in pre-match top 5
- Not in the published pre-match top 5
Verified pre-match markets
- BTTS Yes62.4%Correct
- Over 2.5 goals61.2%Correct
- Double chance X273.7%Correct
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Beijing Guoan at 45.5%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 73.7%
- Likely score1 - 2 (13.09%)
- BTTSYes · 62.4%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 61.2%
Published pre-match 1X2 probabilities
Published pre-match predictionBeijing Guoan45.5%
Confidence31.8%
StabilityRisk
Pre-match projected goals and trends
Over 61.2% Under 38.8%
Yes 62.4% No 37.6%
Double chance
Available markets
Pre-match top 5 likely scores
- Pre-match likely score 1 - 2 — 13.1%
- Pre-match likely score 1 - 1 — 9.7%
- Pre-match likely score 2 - 1 — 9.2%
- Pre-match likely score 0 - 1 — 8.3%
- Pre-match likely score 0 - 0 — 7.5%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win by 2+ goals
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing Guoan prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing Guoan?
The model sees an open match and gives Beijing Guoan a slight edge at 45.5%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (13.09%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62.4% and BTTS No at 37.6%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 73.7%, without being certain.
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Chinese Super League
What the data says about Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Beijing Guoan
This Chinese Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger sits 14th and Beijing Guoan 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1580 for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 1631 for Beijing Guoan.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 80% for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 73.3% for Beijing Guoan. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 26.3%, the draw 28.2% and Beijing Guoan 45.5%. Before the match, the model projected 1.95 xG against 1.77, for a combined 3.72.