Relative strengthSlight edge for Bristol City
Prediction for Preston North End vs Bristol City
Preston North EndView team →LLLLW32.7%Preston North End
30.5%Draw
36.8%Bristol City
Bristol CityView team →WDLWLVERDICTVery balanced match
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Bristol City has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The 1X2 probabilities are very close and do not identify a clear favourite. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 67.3%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 35.7%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 67.3%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Bristol City
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Preston North End32.7%Draw30.5%
Bristol City36.8%Main pickBristol City
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence35.7%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 69.5% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Bristol City | 53% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 56% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 78.8% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.12Preston North End
Total xG2.33
Expected goals (xG)1.21Bristol City
Under 2.5 probability56%
BTTS No probability50.1%
Top 5 likely scores
0 - 012.6%1 - 112.3%0 - 111.1%1 - 010.3%1 - 29.3%
Advanced scenarios
Preston North EndBristol City30.1%
Clean sheet32.6%
17.6%
Win to nil20%
11.9%
Win by 2 goals or more14.4%
Team comparison
23rdCurrent position12th
1372Elo1442
LLLLWForm (last 5)WDLWL
1.2Goals scored / match (5)1.4
2.2Goals conceded / match (5)1.4
0.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
46%
46% correct predictions
over 965 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Preston North End vs Bristol City?
The Foresportia model sees a very balanced match. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 0 - 0 (12.59%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 49.9% and BTTS No at 50.1%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 67.3%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Preston North End vs Bristol City
This Championship fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Preston North End sits 23rd and Bristol City 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1372 for Preston North End and 1442 for Bristol City.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Preston North End and 46.7% for Bristol City. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Preston North End 32.7%, the draw 30.5% and Bristol City 36.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.12 xG against 1.21, for a combined 2.33. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 0–0 at 12.6%.