Foresportia Elo
1442Championship rank : 16th
Bristol City
Foresportia analyses Bristol City using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
46.7%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Bristol City
Bristol City are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Championship. The team have scored few goals: 3 goals, against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Championship · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Bristol City
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Stoke CityElo : 1451
Bristol CityElo : 1425
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Stoke City 39%Draw 30%Bristol City 31%
3. Prediction reliability for Bristol City
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 8.3% | 12 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 35.3% | 17 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 47.8% | 23 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 28 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 45.5% | 33 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 44.7% | 38 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 44.2% | 43 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 43.2% | 44 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 42.6% | 47 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 40.0% | 50 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 40.7% | 54 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 43.1% | 58 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 41.3% | 63 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 40.9% | 66 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 39.4% | 71 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 41.9% | 74 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 41.8% | 79 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 42.5% | 80 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 42.2% | 83 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 43.5% | 85 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 43.2% | 88 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Bristol City
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.63 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.16 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Bristol City
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 101 verified matches
6. Market signals for Bristol City
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1270.6%78.6%28Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X264.8%72.0%25Robust signal
Away draw no bet56.5%63.6%11Recurring signal
Under 2.559.2%56.0%25Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Bristol City
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Bristol City
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Bristol City
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Bristol City
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Bristol City mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bristol City still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Stoke City vs Bristol City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 76.9% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Bristol City FAQ
What is the next match for Bristol City on Foresportia?
This page shows Bristol City's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Bristol City's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Bristol City's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Bristol City?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Bristol City, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Bristol City: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Bristol City mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bristol City still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Stoke City vs Bristol City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 39%.