Hamburger SV
Standing#13
Elo rating1495
Form index46.7%
Expected goals1.19
1.FSV Mainz 05
Standing#10
Elo rating1520
Form index46.7%
Expected goals1.34
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for 1.FSV Mainz 05 at 37.1%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 70.2%
- Likely score1 - 2 (13.04%)
- BTTSYes · 60.1%
- Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.8%
First AI projection
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
Main pick1.FSV Mainz 0537.1%
Confidence27.8%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 52.8% Under 47.2%
Yes 60.1% No 39.9%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 1 - 2 — 13%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 13%
- Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.2%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 10.7%
- Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.9%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 early projection FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
The early estimate gives 1.FSV Mainz 05 a slight edge at 37.1%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (13.04%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Bundesliga
What the data says about Hamburger SV vs 1.FSV Mainz 05
This Bundesliga fixture sits in a competition often shaped by tempo, attacking volume, transitions and current momentum.
Before kick-off, Hamburger SV sits 13th and 1.FSV Mainz 05 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1495 for Hamburger SV and 1520 for 1.FSV Mainz 05.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Hamburger SV and 46.7% for 1.FSV Mainz 05. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives Hamburger SV 29.8%, the draw 33.1% and 1.FSV Mainz 05 37.1%. The expected-goals model projects 1.19 xG against 1.34, for a combined 2.53.