Logo 1.FSV Mainz 05

1.FSV Mainz 05

GermanyBundesliga2026-2027

Foresportia analyses 1.FSV Mainz 05 using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1558Bundesliga rank : 10th
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
0.60Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
48.2%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: 1.FSV Mainz 05

1.FSV Mainz 05 are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 11 goals scored and 16 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Bundesliga. Results have been poor over these matches, with 3 points taken from a possible 15. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 7 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
433
340
230
140
120

1. How Foresportia evaluates 1.FSV Mainz 05

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1558Foresportia EloBundesliga rank : 10th
1.531X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
0.60Recent formpoints / match
48.2%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Bundesliga

FC AugsburgElo : 1490
VS
1.FSV Mainz 05Elo : 1489
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
33%31%36%
FC Augsburg 33%Draw 31%1.FSV Mainz 05 36%
Main signalAway win · 36%
Model confidence45.9%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for 1.FSV Mainz 05

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-11Risk50.0%10
2024-12Risk42.9%14
2025-01Risk38.9%18
2025-02Risk38.1%21
2025-03Risk37.5%24
2025-04Risk33.3%27
2025-05Risk33.3%30
2025-08Risk34.4%32
2025-09Risk37.1%35
2025-10Risk37.1%35
2025-11Risk35.1%37
2025-12Risk38.5%39
2026-01Risk36.4%44
2026-02Risk37.0%46
2026-03Risk36.7%49
2026-04Risk34.6%52
2026-05Risk36.4%55
2026-09Risk37.9%58
2026-10Risk37.7%61
2026-11Risk37.7%61
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-12Correct and above90.0%10
2026-01Correct and above90.0%10
2026-02Correct and above83.3%12
2026-03Correct and above83.3%12
2026-04Correct and above84.6%13
2026-05Correct and above84.6%13
2026-09Correct and above84.6%13
2026-10Correct and above84.6%13
2026-11Correct and above85.7%14
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample5
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample4
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample4

4. Predictive profile for 1.FSV Mainz 05

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.13 pts/matchLower observed return
Away performance1.49 pts/matchHigher observed return

5. Statistical markers for 1.FSV Mainz 05

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home0.80
Expected goals conceded at home0.98
Expected goals created away1.14
Expected goals conceded away0.96
Goals scored / match (5)2.20
Goals conceded / match (5)3.20

History: 75 verified matches

6. Market signals for 1.FSV Mainz 05

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X267.5%86.4%22Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1271.3%79.2%24Major, well-documented signal
Away draw no bet63.1%69.2%13Confirmed signal
Over 2.558.3%69.2%13Success above the average probability
Both teams to score58.1%62.5%16Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
1.FSV Mainz 05
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
1.FSV Mainz 05
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, 1.FSV Mainz 05 mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

1.FSV Mainz 05 shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.20 goals per match recently.

The next detected match is FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 36%.

AI verdictHigh predictive reliability

Correct and above: 85.7% success across 14 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore BundesligaLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. 1.FSV Mainz 05 FAQ

What is the next match for 1.FSV Mainz 05 on Foresportia?

This page shows 1.FSV Mainz 05's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read 1.FSV Mainz 05's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for 1.FSV Mainz 05's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for 1.FSV Mainz 05?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for 1.FSV Mainz 05, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

1.FSV Mainz 05: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, 1.FSV Mainz 05 mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

1.FSV Mainz 05 shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.20 goals per match recently.

The next detected match is FC Augsburg vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 36%.