Foresportia Elo
1539Bundesliga rank : 6th
1.FSV Mainz 05
Foresportia analyses 1.FSV Mainz 05 using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
49.2%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: 1.FSV Mainz 05
1.FSV Mainz 05 have taken 6 points from three matches in Bundesliga. The team have scored 10 goals and conceded 6. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 3 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates 1.FSV Mainz 05
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
1.FSV Mainz 05Elo : Not available
Bayer 04 LeverkusenElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for 1.FSV Mainz 05
Data updated on 28 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 42.9% | 14 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 38.9% | 18 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 38.1% | 21 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 37.5% | 24 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 33.3% | 27 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 33.3% | 30 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 34.4% | 32 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 37.1% | 35 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 37.1% | 35 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 35.1% | 37 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 38.5% | 39 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 36.4% | 44 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 37.0% | 46 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 36.7% | 49 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 34.6% | 52 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 36.4% | 55 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 37.9% | 58 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
4. Predictive profile for 1.FSV Mainz 05
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.23 pts/matchLower observed return
Away performance1.53 pts/matchHigher observed return
5. Statistical markers for 1.FSV Mainz 05
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 71 verified matches
6. Market signals for 1.FSV Mainz 05
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X265.9%88.2%17Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1271.0%73.7%19Robust signal
Away draw no bet60.9%66.7%9Promising signal, limited sample
Over 2.556.1%62.5%8Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
1.FSV Mainz 05
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
1.FSV Mainz 05
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
1.FSV Mainz 05
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
1.FSV Mainz 05
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, 1.FSV Mainz 05 mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
1.FSV Mainz 05 shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.60 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 84.6% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. 1.FSV Mainz 05 FAQ
What is the next match for 1.FSV Mainz 05 on Foresportia?
This page shows 1.FSV Mainz 05's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read 1.FSV Mainz 05's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for 1.FSV Mainz 05's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for 1.FSV Mainz 05?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for 1.FSV Mainz 05, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
1.FSV Mainz 05: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, 1.FSV Mainz 05 mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
1.FSV Mainz 05 shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.60 goals per match recently.
The next confirmed match is 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.