Relative strengthSlight edge for Arminia Bielefeld
Prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld
SV Darmstadt 98View team →LLLDL42.3%SV Darmstadt 98
29.3%Draw
28.4%Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia BielefeldView team →DLWLWVERDICTSV Darmstadt 98 slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that SV Darmstadt 98 has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give SV Darmstadt 98 a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 71.6%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 45.2%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 71.6%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Arminia Bielefeld
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
SV Darmstadt 9842.3%Draw29.3%
Arminia Bielefeld28.4%Main pickSV Darmstadt 98
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence45.2%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.6% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | SV Darmstadt 98 | 59.8% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 77.1% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.57SV Darmstadt 98
Total xG2.82
Expected goals (xG)1.25Arminia Bielefeld
Under 2.5 probability40.3%
BTTS No probability38%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 113.2%1 - 210.2%1 - 110.2%1 - 08.3%0 - 08.3%
Advanced scenarios
SV Darmstadt 98Arminia Bielefeld26.6%
Clean sheet19.7%
18.4%
Win to nil11.4%
19.8%
Win by 2 goals or more10.3%
Team comparison
18thCurrent position9th
1427Elo1459
LLLDLForm (last 5)DLWLW
0.4Goals scored / match (5)2.6
1.8Goals conceded / match (5)1.8
0.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
47.2%
47.2% correct predictions
over 562 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Foresportia model gives SV Darmstadt 98 a slight edge at 42.3%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.17%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 62% and BTTS No at 38%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 71.6%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld
This Bundesliga 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, SV Darmstadt 98 sits 18th and Arminia Bielefeld 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1427 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 1459 for Arminia Bielefeld.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for SV Darmstadt 98 and 46.7% for Arminia Bielefeld. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives SV Darmstadt 98 42.3%, the draw 29.3% and Arminia Bielefeld 28.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.57 xG against 1.25, for a combined 2.82. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 13.2%.