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Arminia Bielefeld

GermanyBundesliga 22026-2027

Foresportia analyses Arminia Bielefeld using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1463Bundesliga 2 rank : 8th
1X2 entropy
1.56Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
1.20Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
49.3%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld have taken 6 points from five matches in Bundesliga 2. The team have scored 6 goals and conceded 9. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.

Bundesliga 2 · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
120
140
120
103
213

1. How Foresportia evaluates Arminia Bielefeld

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1463Foresportia EloBundesliga 2 rank : 8th
1.561X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.47Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
1.20Recent formpoints / match
49.3%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Bundesliga 2

Hertha BSCElo : 1589
VS
Arminia BielefeldElo : 1473
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
49%28%24%
Hertha BSC 49%Draw 28%Arminia Bielefeld 24%
Main signalHome win · 49%
Model confidence54.8%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Arminia Bielefeld

Data updated on 20 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2025-08RiskInsufficient sample4
2025-09RiskInsufficient sample6
2025-10RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-11Risk70.0%10
2025-12Risk63.6%11
2026-01Risk61.5%13
2026-02Risk55.6%18
2026-03Risk57.1%21
2026-04Risk56.0%25
2026-05Risk53.6%28
2026-08Risk56.7%30
2026-09Risk58.1%31
2026-10Risk57.6%33
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for Arminia Bielefeld

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.61 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.76 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Arminia Bielefeld

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.18
Expected goals conceded at home1.02
Expected goals created away0.83
Expected goals conceded away1.11
Goals scored / match (5)1.20
Goals conceded / match (5)1.80

History: 39 verified matches

6. Market signals for Arminia Bielefeld

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X66.5%82.6%23Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score59.3%81.2%16Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.557.9%78.6%14Success above the average probability
Double chance 1271.4%73.9%23Robust signal
Home draw no bet58.3%64.3%14Recurring signal

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Arminia Bielefeld
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Arminia Bielefeld
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Arminia Bielefeld mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Arminia Bielefeld still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 49%.

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the next match for Arminia Bielefeld on Foresportia?

This page shows Arminia Bielefeld's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Arminia Bielefeld's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Arminia Bielefeld's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Arminia Bielefeld?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Arminia Bielefeld, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Arminia Bielefeld: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Arminia Bielefeld mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Arminia Bielefeld still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.

The next detected match is Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 49%.