Relative strengthAdvantage Corinthians São Paulo
Prediction for Corinthians São Paulo vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Corinthians São PauloView team →LLLWD63.8%Corinthians São Paulo
23.9%Draw
12.2%Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Associação Chapecoense de FutebolView team →LWDLDVERDICTModerate edge for Corinthians São Paulo
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Corinthians São Paulo has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Corinthians São Paulo a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 87.8%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYStable The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 67.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 87.8%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Probabilities & verdict
Corinthians São Paulo63.8%Draw23.9%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol12.2%Main pickCorinthians São Paulo
1X2 STABILITYStable
Model confidence67.5%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.8% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Corinthians São Paulo | 84% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 74.1% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.87Corinthians São Paulo
Total xG2.59
Expected goals (xG)0.73Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Under 2.5 probability47.9%
BTTS No probability51.6%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 013.2%2 - 113.1%1 - 110.2%2 - 09.9%0 - 09.1%
Advanced scenarios
Corinthians São PauloAssociação Chapecoense de Futebol45.8%
Clean sheet14.9%
36.7%
Win to nil5.8%
36.5%
Win by 2 goals or more2.5%
Team comparison
10thCurrent position20th
1499Elo1319
LLLWDForm (last 5)LWDLD
0.8Goals scored / match (5)1.6
1.0Goals conceded / match (5)2.0
40.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
The signal belongs to a historically stable profile, without guaranteeing the outcome.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCEStable profile
86.6%
86.6% correct predictions
over 82 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Corinthians São Paulo vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol?
The Foresportia model gives Corinthians São Paulo a moderate edge at 63.8%. This estimate does not guarantee the final result.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (13.17%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 48.4% and BTTS No at 51.6%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 87.8%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Corinthians São Paulo vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
This Brasileirão fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Corinthians São Paulo sits 10th and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 20th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1499 for Corinthians São Paulo and 1319 for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Corinthians São Paulo and 33.3% for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Corinthians São Paulo 63.8%, the draw 23.9% and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 12.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.87 xG against 0.73, for a combined 2.59. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–0 at 13.2%.