Foresportia Elo
1335Brasileirão rank : 20th
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Foresportia analyses Associação Chapecoense de Futebol using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.35Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
61.7%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Brasileirão. Their defense needs attention: 12 goals conceded against 5 scored.
Brasileirão · 2026 · 29 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Botafogo de Futebol e RegatasElo : 1470
Associação Chapecoense de FutebolElo : 1309
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas 71%Draw 20%Associação Chapecoense de Futebol 10%
3. Prediction reliability for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Data updated on 14 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
66.7%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 46.7% | 15 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 71.4% | 14 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 66.7% | 12 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
4. Predictive profile for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance0.79 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.47 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 29 verified matches
6. Market signals for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X274.6%92.9%14Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X79.0%85.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.559.2%85.7%7Promising signal, limited sample
Home win63.6%71.4%14Robust signal
Over 2.557.7%71.4%21Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 71%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Stable and above: 66.7% success across 12 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol FAQ
What is the next match for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol on Foresportia?
This page shows Associação Chapecoense de Futebol's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Associação Chapecoense de Futebol's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Associação Chapecoense de Futebol still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas vs Associação Chapecoense de Futebol on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 71%.