Úrvalsdeild · Scheduled

First AI projection for Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik

First AI projection for this Úrvalsdeild fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik and today's matchesAll Úrvalsdeild predictions
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Valur Reykjavik

Standing#5

Elo rating1498

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
WDLLL

Expected goals1.82

ScheduledVSJuly 18, 2026
21:15

Fram Reykjavik

Standing#3

Elo rating1585

Form index80%

Last 5 matches
WLWWW

Expected goals3.02

Match context to watch
Reykjavík derby (Valur - Fram)Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearbyRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Valur Reykjavik at 40.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 68.3%
  • Likely score1 - 3 (6.60%)
  • BTTSYes · 61.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 59.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Valur Reykjavik40.5%
Draw27.8%
Fram Reykjavik31.7%

Main pickValur Reykjavik40.5%

Confidence46.3%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Valur Reykjavik1.82
Expected total4.84
Fram Reykjavik3.02
59.2%Over 2.5

Over 59.2% Under 40.8%

61.8%BTTS

Yes 61.8% No 38.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X68.3%
X259.5%
1272.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 3 — 6.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 2 — 6.6%
  3. Likely score 2 - 3 — 6%
  4. Likely score 2 - 2 — 6%
  5. Likely score 1 - 4 — 5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Valur Reykjavik 4.9%Fram Reykjavik 16.2%

Draw no bet

Valur Reykjavik 56.1%Fram Reykjavik 43.9%

Win to nil

Valur Reykjavik 4.1%Fram Reykjavik 15.4%

Win by 2+ goals

Valur Reykjavik 10.2%Fram Reykjavik 43.6%

Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik?

The early estimate gives Valur Reykjavik a slight edge at 40.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 3 (6.60%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Úrvalsdeild

What the data says about Valur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik

This Úrvalsdeild fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Valur Reykjavik sits 5th and Fram Reykjavik 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1498 for Valur Reykjavik and 1585 for Fram Reykjavik.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Valur Reykjavik and 80% for Fram Reykjavik. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Valur Reykjavik 40.5%, the draw 27.8% and Fram Reykjavik 31.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.82 xG against 3.02, for a combined 4.84.