Úrvalsdeild · Full time

Prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik

Úrvalsdeild AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Thor Akureyri

Standing#10

Elo rating1373

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
DLLLL

Expected goals0.94

Full time2 - 4June 28, 2026
19:00

Valur Reykjavik

Standing#5

Elo rating1478

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
DLLLW

Expected goals2.18

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Valur Reykjavik at 67%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 89.5%
  • Likely score0 - 2 (10.51%)
  • BTTSNo · 50.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56%

1X2 probabilities

Thor Akureyri10.5%
Draw22.5%
Valur Reykjavik67%

Main pickValur Reykjavik67%

Confidence90.5%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Thor Akureyri0.94
Expected total3.11
Valur Reykjavik2.18
56%Over 2.5

Over 56% Under 44%

49.8%BTTS

Yes 49.8% No 50.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X33%
X289.5%
1277.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 0 - 210.5%
  2. Likely score 1 - 29.9%
  3. Likely score 0 - 19.7%
  4. Likely score 1 - 19.1%
  5. Likely score 0 - 37.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Thor Akureyri 11.4%Valur Reykjavik 39.1%

Draw no bet

Thor Akureyri 13.5%Valur Reykjavik 86.5%

Win to nil

Thor Akureyri 6.9%Valur Reykjavik 34.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Thor Akureyri 4.9%Valur Reykjavik 42%
Post-match review · Final score2 - 4

Verified predictionCorrect

Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?

The model gives Valur Reykjavik the edge at 67%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 0 - 2 (10.51%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 49.8% and BTTS No at 50.2%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 89.5%, without being certain.

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Úrvalsdeild

What the data says about Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik

This Úrvalsdeild fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Thor Akureyri sits 10th and Valur Reykjavik 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1373 for Thor Akureyri and 1478 for Valur Reykjavik.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for Thor Akureyri and 26.7% for Valur Reykjavik. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Thor Akureyri 10.5%, the draw 22.5% and Valur Reykjavik 67%. The expected-goals model projects 0.94 xG against 2.18, for a combined 3.11.