Úrvalsdeild · Full time

Prediction for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri

Úrvalsdeild AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Stjarnan

Standing#9

Elo rating1448

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
LDWLL

Expected goals2.01

Full time3 - 1June 28, 2026
19:00

KA Akureyri

Standing#8

Elo rating1441

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LLLLW

Expected goals2.30

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Stjarnan at 39.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 69.7%
  • Likely score2 - 2 (7.18%)
  • BTTSYes · 57%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%

1X2 probabilities

Stjarnan39.7%
Draw30.1%
KA Akureyri30.3%

Main pickStjarnan39.7%

Confidence40.3%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Stjarnan2.01
Expected total4.31
KA Akureyri2.30
52%Over 2.5

Over 52% Under 48%

57%BTTS

Yes 57% No 43%

Double chance

Available markets

1X69.7%
X260.3%
1269.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 27.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 27.2%
  3. Likely score 2 - 16.2%
  4. Likely score 1 - 16.2%
  5. Likely score 2 - 35.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Stjarnan 10%KA Akureyri 13.4%

Draw no bet

Stjarnan 56.7%KA Akureyri 43.3%

Win to nil

Stjarnan 8.7%KA Akureyri 12.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Stjarnan 18.6%KA Akureyri 27.1%
Post-match review · Final score3 - 1

Verified predictionCorrect

Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?

The model sees an open match and gives Stjarnan a slight edge at 39.7%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 2 - 2 (7.18%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57% and BTTS No at 43%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 69.7%, without being certain.

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Úrvalsdeild

What the data says about Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri

This Úrvalsdeild fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Stjarnan sits 9th and KA Akureyri 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1448 for Stjarnan and 1441 for KA Akureyri.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Stjarnan and 20% for KA Akureyri. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Stjarnan 39.7%, the draw 30.1% and KA Akureyri 30.3%. The expected-goals model projects 2.01 xG against 2.30, for a combined 4.31.