Úrvalsdeild · Full time

Prediction for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik

Úrvalsdeild AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Keflavik

Standing#7

Elo rating1449

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
DLLWD

Expected goals1.33

Full time3 - 2June 28, 2026
19:00

KR Reykjavik

Standing#2

Elo rating1608

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WLWWL

Expected goals2.27

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for KR Reykjavik at 42%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 70.7%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (9.38%)
  • BTTSYes · 59.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.9%

1X2 probabilities

Keflavik29.4%
Draw28.7%
KR Reykjavik42%

Main pickKR Reykjavik42%

Confidence33.2%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Keflavik1.33
Expected total3.59
KR Reykjavik2.27
55.9%Over 2.5

Over 55.9% Under 44.1%

59.4%BTTS

Yes 59.4% No 40.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X58%
X270.7%
1271.3%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 29.4%
  2. Likely score 1 - 18.3%
  3. Likely score 1 - 37.1%
  4. Likely score 0 - 27.1%
  5. Likely score 0 - 16.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Keflavik 10.4%KR Reykjavik 26.6%

Draw no bet

Keflavik 41.1%KR Reykjavik 58.9%

Win to nil

Keflavik 7.6%KR Reykjavik 23.8%

Win by 2+ goals

Keflavik 8.9%KR Reykjavik 36.9%
Post-match review · Final score3 - 2

Verified predictionIncorrect

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

The model sees an open match and gives KR Reykjavik a slight edge at 42%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (9.38%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 59.4% and BTTS No at 40.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 70.7%, without being certain.

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Úrvalsdeild

What the data says about Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik

This Úrvalsdeild fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Keflavik sits 7th and KR Reykjavik 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1449 for Keflavik and 1608 for KR Reykjavik.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 33.3% for Keflavik and 60% for KR Reykjavik. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Keflavik 29.4%, the draw 28.7% and KR Reykjavik 42%. The expected-goals model projects 1.33 xG against 2.27, for a combined 3.59.