1X United States or draw
77.3 %
United States
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
July 2, 2026 · 02:00
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Model favorite United States win 58.1 %
FavoriteUnited States
Confidence score59.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| United States win | 58.06 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.22 % |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 22.71 % |
Dominant scenario: 35.4-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
73.8 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 73.8 %
Under 2.5 26.2 %
69.6 % BTTS
Yes 69.6 %
No 30.4 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Bosnia and Herzegovina
41.9 %
12 Either team wins
80.8 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
United States 23.3 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 9.2 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
United States 71.9 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 28.1 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
United States 21.1 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 7.1 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
United States 37.1 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 9.9 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 2-1 8.90 %
- 1-1 7.46 %
- 3-1 7.07 %
- 2-2 6.48 %
- 2-0 6.10 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 2-1 (8.90%); next scenarios: 1-1 (7.46%), 3-1 (7.07%).
Elo context
United States1819
Bosnia and Herzegovina1637
Elo gap of 182 points in favour of United States (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the United States vs Bosnia and Herzegovina analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.