1X Switzerland or draw
53.4 %
Switzerland
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
July 7, 2026 · 22:00
Colombia
Model favorite Colombia win 46.6 %
FavoriteColombia
Confidence score48.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Switzerland win | 30.39 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.01 % |
| Colombia win | 46.60 % |
Clear 16.2-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
61.9 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 61.9 %
Under 2.5 38.1 %
62.9 % BTTS
Yes 62.9 %
No 37.1 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Colombia
69.6 %
12 Either team wins
77.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Switzerland 16.7 % · Colombia 24.5 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Switzerland 39.5 % · Colombia 60.5 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Switzerland 12.6 % · Colombia 20.4 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Switzerland 13.6 % · Colombia 25.3 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.30 %
- 1-2 9.21 %
- 0-1 7.32 %
- 2-1 7.25 %
- 0-2 6.55 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.30%); next scenarios: 1-2 (9.21%), 0-1 (7.32%).
Elo context
Switzerland1940
Colombia2012
Elo gap of 72 points in favour of Colombia (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Switzerland vs Colombia analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.