1X Switzerland or draw
67.3 %
Switzerland
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 24, 2026 · 21:00
Canada
Model favorite Switzerland win 41.6 %
FavoriteSwitzerland
Confidence score40.3 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Switzerland win | 41.59 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.72 % |
| Canada win | 32.69 % |
Tight 8.9-point lead between the two most likely scenarios.
Goal trends
50.4 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 50.4 %
Under 2.5 49.6 %
54.5 % BTTS
Yes 54.5 %
No 45.5 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Canada
58.4 %
12 Either team wins
74.3 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Switzerland 28.7 % · Canada 23.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Switzerland 56.0 % · Canada 44.0 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Switzerland 21.9 % · Canada 16.9 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Switzerland 19.9 % · Canada 13.9 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 12.21 %
- 1-0 9.77 %
- 2-1 8.81 %
- 0-1 8.46 %
- 1-2 7.63 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (12.21%); next scenarios: 1-0 (9.77%), 2-1 (8.81%).
Elo context
Switzerland1872
Canada1835
Elo gap of 36 points in favour of Switzerland (slight).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Switzerland vs Canada analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.