1X Switzerland or draw
82.9 %
Switzerland
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 18, 2026 · 21:00
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Model favorite Switzerland win 63.4 %
FavoriteSwitzerland
Confidence score65.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Switzerland win | 63.41 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.47 % |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina win | 17.12 % |
Dominant scenario: 43.9-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
63.7 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 63.7 %
Under 2.5 36.3 %
58.4 % BTTS
Yes 58.4 %
No 41.6 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Bosnia and Herzegovina
36.6 %
12 Either team wins
80.5 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Switzerland 34.5 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 10.9 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Switzerland 78.7 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 21.3 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Switzerland 30.7 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 7.2 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Switzerland 40.5 % · Bosnia and Herzegovina 6.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 2-1 9.83 %
- 2-0 9.23 %
- 1-1 8.88 %
- 1-0 8.33 %
- 3-1 7.26 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 2-1 (9.83%); next scenarios: 2-0 (9.23%), 1-1 (8.88%).
Elo context
Switzerland1860
Bosnia and Herzegovina1629
Elo gap of 231 points in favour of Switzerland (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.