1X Switzerland or draw
68.5 %
Switzerland
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
July 3, 2026 · 05:00
Algeria
Model favorite Switzerland win 45.6 %
FavoriteSwitzerland
Confidence score48.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Switzerland win | 45.61 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.93 % |
| Algeria win | 31.46 % |
Clear 14.1-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
62.9 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 62.9 %
Under 2.5 37.1 %
63.8 % BTTS
Yes 63.8 %
No 36.2 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Algeria
54.4 %
12 Either team wins
77.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Switzerland 23.4 % · Algeria 16.7 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Switzerland 59.2 % · Algeria 40.8 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Switzerland 19.5 % · Algeria 12.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Switzerland 24.6 % · Algeria 14.4 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.16 %
- 2-1 9.09 %
- 1-2 7.39 %
- 1-0 6.99 %
- 2-2 6.60 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.16%); next scenarios: 2-1 (9.09%), 1-2 (7.39%).
Elo context
Switzerland1905
Algeria1842
Elo gap of 63 points in favour of Switzerland (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Switzerland vs Algeria analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.