1X South Korea or draw
71.6 %
South Korea
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 12, 2026 · 04:00
Czech Republic
Model favorite South Korea win 47.7 %
FavoriteSouth Korea
Confidence score48.6 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| South Korea win | 47.68 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.96 % |
| Czech Republic win | 28.36 % |
Clear 19.3-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
56.2 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 56.2 %
Under 2.5 43.8 %
58.1 % BTTS
Yes 58.1 %
No 41.9 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Czech Republic
52.3 %
12 Either team wins
76.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
South Korea 28.7 % · Czech Republic 18.5 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
South Korea 62.7 % · Czech Republic 37.3 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
South Korea 23.4 % · Czech Republic 13.2 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
South Korea 25.3 % · Czech Republic 11.8 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 11.18 %
- 2-1 9.44 %
- 1-0 8.96 %
- 2-0 7.56 %
- 1-2 6.98 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (11.18%); next scenarios: 2-1 (9.44%), 1-0 (8.96%).
Elo context
South Korea1824
Czech Republic1740
Elo gap of 83 points in favour of South Korea (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the South Korea vs Czech Republic analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.