1X South Africa or draw
39.0 %
South Africa
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 25, 2026 · 03:00
South Korea
Model favorite South Korea win 61.0 %
FavoriteSouth Korea
Confidence score65.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| South Africa win | 15.09 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.88 % |
| South Korea win | 61.03 % |
Dominant scenario: 37.2-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
58.0 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 58.0 %
Over 2.5 42.0 %
59.6 % No BTTS
No 59.6 %
Yes 40.4 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or South Korea
84.9 %
12 Either team wins
76.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
South Africa 18.8 % · South Korea 50.2 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
South Africa 19.8 % · South Korea 80.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
South Africa 9.4 % · South Korea 40.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
South Africa 4.0 % · South Korea 34.2 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 15.78 %
- 0-2 13.18 %
- 1-1 10.87 %
- 0-0 9.45 %
- 1-2 9.08 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (15.78%); next scenarios: 0-2 (13.18%), 1-1 (10.87%).
Elo context
South Africa1632
South Korea1826
Elo gap of 194 points in favour of South Korea (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the South Africa vs South Korea analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.