1X Scotland or draw
45.2 %
Scotland
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 20, 2026 · 00:00
Morocco
Model favorite Morocco win 54.8 %
FavoriteMorocco
Confidence score54.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Scotland win | 19.63 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.54 % |
| Morocco win | 54.83 % |
Dominant scenario: 29.3-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
57.8 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 57.8 %
Over 2.5 42.2 %
56.1 % No BTTS
No 56.1 %
Yes 43.9 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Morocco
80.4 %
12 Either team wins
74.5 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Scotland 21.1 % · Morocco 44.3 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Scotland 26.4 % · Morocco 73.6 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Scotland 11.8 % · Morocco 34.9 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Scotland 6.0 % · Morocco 28.9 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 14.55 %
- 1-1 11.85 %
- 0-2 11.31 %
- 0-0 9.37 %
- 1-2 9.21 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (14.55%); next scenarios: 1-1 (11.85%), 0-2 (11.31%).
Elo context
Scotland1776
Morocco1919
Elo gap of 143 points in favour of Morocco (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Scotland vs Morocco analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.