1X Scotland or draw
41.6 %
Scotland
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 20, 2026 · 00:00
Morocco
Model favorite Morocco win 58.4 %
FavoriteMorocco
Confidence score59.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Scotland win | 17.11 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.46 % |
| Morocco win | 58.43 % |
Dominant scenario: 34.0-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
57.1 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 57.1 %
Over 2.5 42.9 %
57.3 % No BTTS
No 57.3 %
Yes 42.7 %
Reading: low-scoring lean (Under 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Morocco
82.9 %
12 Either team wins
75.5 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Scotland 19.5 % · Morocco 46.9 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Scotland 22.6 % · Morocco 77.3 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Scotland 10.3 % · Morocco 37.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Scotland 5.0 % · Morocco 32.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 14.95 %
- 0-2 12.24 %
- 1-1 11.31 %
- 1-2 9.26 %
- 0-0 9.13 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (14.95%); next scenarios: 0-2 (12.24%), 1-1 (11.31%).
Elo context
Scotland1740
Morocco1913
Elo gap of 172 points in favour of Morocco (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Scotland vs Morocco analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.