1X Scotland or draw
34.4 %
Scotland
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 25, 2026 · 00:00
Brazil
Model favorite Brazil win 65.6 %
FavoriteBrazil
Confidence score72.4 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Scotland win | 14.18 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.18 % |
| Brazil win | 65.64 % |
Dominant scenario: 45.5-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
54.5 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 54.5 %
Under 2.5 45.5 %
51.2 % No BTTS
No 51.2 %
Yes 48.8 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Brazil
85.8 %
12 Either team wins
79.8 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Scotland 13.0 % · Brazil 43.9 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Scotland 17.8 % · Brazil 82.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Scotland 7.3 % · Brazil 38.2 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Scotland 4.2 % · Brazil 41.0 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-2 11.88 %
- 0-1 11.66 %
- 1-2 9.78 %
- 1-1 9.60 %
- 0-3 8.07 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-2 (11.88%); next scenarios: 0-1 (11.66%), 1-2 (9.78%).
Elo context
Scotland1755
Brazil2002
Elo gap of 246 points in favour of Brazil (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Scotland vs Brazil analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.