1X Qatar or draw
32.6 %
Qatar
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 13, 2026 · 21:00
Switzerland
Model favorite Switzerland win 67.4 %
FavoriteSwitzerland
Confidence score72.6 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Qatar win | 15.69 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 16.94 % |
| Switzerland win | 67.37 % |
Dominant scenario: 50.4-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
73.5 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 73.5 %
Under 2.5 26.5 %
65.2 % BTTS
Yes 65.2 %
No 34.8 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Switzerland
84.3 %
12 Either team wins
83.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Qatar 7.3 % · Switzerland 29.7 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Qatar 18.9 % · Switzerland 81.1 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Qatar 5.2 % · Switzerland 27.5 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Qatar 6.0 % · Switzerland 46.4 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-2 9.03 %
- 1-3 7.88 %
- 0-2 7.44 %
- 1-1 6.91 %
- 0-3 6.49 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-2 (9.03%); next scenarios: 1-3 (7.88%), 0-2 (7.44%).
Elo context
Qatar1582
Switzerland1874
Elo gap of 292 points in favour of Switzerland (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Qatar vs Switzerland analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.