1X Panama or draw
39.2 %
Panama
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 27, 2026 · 23:00
England
Model favorite England win 60.8 %
FavoriteEngland
Confidence score65.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Panama win | 17.40 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.84 % |
| England win | 60.76 % |
Dominant scenario: 38.9-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
53.3 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 53.3 %
Under 2.5 46.7 %
50.8 % BTTS
Yes 50.8 %
No 49.2 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or England
82.6 %
12 Either team wins
78.2 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Panama 14.9 % · England 40.4 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Panama 22.3 % · England 77.7 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Panama 8.9 % · England 34.4 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Panama 5.7 % · England 36.1 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 11.45 %
- 0-2 10.90 %
- 1-1 10.39 %
- 1-2 9.89 %
- 0-3 6.92 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (11.45%); next scenarios: 0-2 (10.90%), 1-1 (10.39%).
Elo context
Panama1776
England1974
Elo gap of 197 points in favour of England (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Panama vs England analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.