1X Panama or draw
31.0 %
Panama
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 27, 2026 · 23:00
England
Model favorite England win 69.0 %
FavoriteEngland
Confidence score72.4 %
StabilityCorrect
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Panama win | 11.98 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 18.99 % |
| England win | 69.03 % |
Dominant scenario: 50.0-point lead over the next.
Panama has already been eliminated. Motivation, tactical choices or rotation may differ from a standard match scenario.
Goal trends
54.6 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 54.6 %
Under 2.5 45.4 %
53.7 % No BTTS
No 53.7 %
Yes 46.3 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or England
88.0 %
12 Either team wins
81.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Panama 12.0 % · England 47.3 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Panama 14.8 % · England 85.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Panama 6.3 % · England 41.6 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Panama 3.3 % · England 44.5 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-2 12.77 %
- 0-1 12.06 %
- 1-2 9.56 %
- 1-1 9.02 %
- 0-3 9.01 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-2 (12.77%); next scenarios: 0-1 (12.06%), 1-2 (9.56%).
Elo context
Panama1700
England1985
Elo gap of 284 points in favour of England (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Panama vs England analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.