1X Panama or draw
43.5 %
Panama
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 24, 2026 · 01:00
Croatia
Model favorite Croatia win 56.5 %
FavoriteCroatia
Confidence score59.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Panama win | 22.62 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.88 % |
| Croatia win | 56.49 % |
Dominant scenario: 33.9-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
65.4 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 65.4 %
Under 2.5 34.6 %
63.0 % BTTS
Yes 63.0 %
No 37.0 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Croatia
77.4 %
12 Either team wins
79.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Panama 12.3 % · Croatia 28.2 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Panama 28.6 % · Croatia 71.4 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Panama 8.8 % · Croatia 24.7 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Panama 9.2 % · Croatia 34.2 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-2 9.64 %
- 1-1 9.18 %
- 0-2 7.61 %
- 0-1 7.25 %
- 1-3 6.75 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-2 (9.64%); next scenarios: 1-1 (9.18%), 0-2 (7.61%).
Elo context
Panama1720
Croatia1882
Elo gap of 162 points in favour of Croatia (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Panama vs Croatia analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.