1X New Zealand or draw
54.2 %
New Zealand
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 22, 2026 · 03:00
Egypt
Model favorite Egypt win 45.8 %
FavoriteEgypt
Confidence score48.7 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| New Zealand win | 28.17 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.06 % |
| Egypt win | 45.77 % |
Clear 17.6-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
52.8 % Under 2.5
Under 2.5 52.8 %
Over 2.5 47.2 %
51.2 % BTTS
Yes 51.2 %
No 48.8 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Egypt
71.8 %
12 Either team wins
73.9 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
New Zealand 23.0 % · Egypt 33.5 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
New Zealand 38.1 % · Egypt 61.9 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
New Zealand 15.3 % · Egypt 25.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
New Zealand 10.9 % · Egypt 22.6 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 12.39 %
- 0-1 11.34 %
- 1-2 9.10 %
- 1-0 8.44 %
- 0-2 8.32 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (12.39%); next scenarios: 0-1 (11.34%), 1-2 (9.10%).
Elo context
New Zealand1690
Egypt1762
Elo gap of 71 points in favour of Egypt (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the New Zealand vs Egypt analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.