1X New Zealand or draw
38.5 %
New Zealand
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 27, 2026 · 05:00
Belgium
Model favorite Belgium win 61.5 %
FavoriteBelgium
Confidence score65.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| New Zealand win | 20.92 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 17.57 % |
| Belgium win | 61.51 % |
Dominant scenario: 40.6-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
79.7 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 79.7 %
Under 2.5 20.4 %
73.7 % BTTS
Yes 73.7 %
No 26.3 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Belgium
79.1 %
12 Either team wins
82.4 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
New Zealand 6.8 % · Belgium 20.9 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
New Zealand 25.4 % · Belgium 74.6 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
New Zealand 5.4 % · Belgium 19.5 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
New Zealand 9.3 % · Belgium 41.5 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-2 8.05 %
- 1-3 7.23 %
- 2-2 6.29 %
- 1-1 5.98 %
- 2-3 5.65 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-2 (8.05%); next scenarios: 1-3 (7.23%), 2-2 (6.29%).
Elo context
New Zealand1677
Belgium1904
Elo gap of 226 points in favour of Belgium (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the New Zealand vs Belgium analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.