1X Jordan or draw
20.9 %
Jordan
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 28, 2026 · 04:00
Argentina👑
Model favorite Argentina win 79.1 %
FavoriteArgentina
Confidence score83.5 %
StabilityStable
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Jordan win | 6.98 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 13.88 % |
| Argentina win | 79.14 % |
Dominant scenario: 65.3-point lead over the next.
Argentina has already qualified. The model still reflects the estimated strength of both teams, but lineup choices, intensity or game management may differ from a normal high-stakes match.
Goal trends
62.2 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 62.2 %
Under 2.5 37.8 %
56.5 % No BTTS
No 56.5 %
Yes 43.5 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority).
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Argentina
93.0 %
12 Either team wins
86.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Jordan 7.6 % · Argentina 52.9 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Jordan 8.1 % · Argentina 91.9 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Jordan 3.6 % · Argentina 48.9 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Jordan 1.7 % · Argentina 57.6 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-2 13.37 %
- 0-3 11.49 %
- 0-1 10.37 %
- 1-2 8.51 %
- 0-4 7.41 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-2 (13.37%); next scenarios: 0-3 (11.49%), 0-1 (10.37%).
Elo context
Jordan1661
Argentina2118
Elo gap of 457 points in favour of Argentina (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Jordan vs Argentina analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.