1X Jordan or draw
48.6 %
Jordan
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 23, 2026 · 05:00
Algeria
Model favorite Algeria win 51.4 %
FavoriteAlgeria
Confidence score54.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Jordan win | 25.66 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.92 % |
| Algeria win | 51.43 % |
Dominant scenario: 25.8-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
58.9 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 58.9 %
Under 2.5 41.1 %
59.4 % BTTS
Yes 59.4 %
No 40.6 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Algeria
74.3 %
12 Either team wins
77.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Jordan 16.1 % · Algeria 29.3 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Jordan 33.3 % · Algeria 66.7 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Jordan 11.4 % · Algeria 24.6 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Jordan 10.4 % · Algeria 28.8 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.57 %
- 1-2 9.66 %
- 0-1 8.60 %
- 0-2 7.86 %
- 2-1 6.49 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.57%); next scenarios: 1-2 (9.66%), 0-1 (8.60%).
Elo context
Jordan1716
Algeria1831
Elo gap of 115 points in favour of Algeria (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Jordan vs Algeria analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.