1X Jordan or draw
46.1 %
Jordan
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 23, 2026 · 05:00
Algeria
Model favorite Algeria win 53.9 %
FavoriteAlgeria
Confidence score54.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Jordan win | 23.50 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.64 % |
| Algeria win | 53.86 % |
Dominant scenario: 30.4-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
58.1 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 58.1 %
Under 2.5 41.9 %
57.9 % BTTS
Yes 57.9 %
No 42.1 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Algeria
76.5 %
12 Either team wins
77.4 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Jordan 15.6 % · Algeria 31.5 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Jordan 30.4 % · Algeria 69.6 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Jordan 10.7 % · Algeria 26.6 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Jordan 9.1 % · Algeria 30.7 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.53 %
- 1-2 9.80 %
- 0-1 9.11 %
- 0-2 8.48 %
- 2-1 6.09 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.53%); next scenarios: 1-2 (9.80%), 0-1 (9.11%).
Elo context
Jordan1683
Algeria1819
Elo gap of 136 points in favour of Algeria (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Jordan vs Algeria analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.