1X Ivory Coast or draw
53.0 %
Ivory Coast
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 30, 2026 · 19:00
Norway
Model favorite Norway win 47.0 %
FavoriteNorway
Confidence score48.6 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Ivory Coast win | 30.10 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.94 % |
| Norway win | 46.96 % |
Clear 16.9-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
62.1 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 62.1 %
Under 2.5 37.9 %
63.0 % BTTS
Yes 63.0 %
No 37.0 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Norway
69.9 %
12 Either team wins
77.1 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Ivory Coast 16.5 % · Norway 24.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Ivory Coast 39.1 % · Norway 60.9 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Ivory Coast 12.5 % · Norway 20.5 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Ivory Coast 13.4 % · Norway 25.6 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.26 %
- 1-2 9.24 %
- 0-1 7.31 %
- 2-1 7.20 %
- 0-2 6.58 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.26%); next scenarios: 1-2 (9.24%), 0-1 (7.31%).
Elo context
Ivory Coast1812
Norway1887
Elo gap of 75 points in favour of Norway (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Ivory Coast vs Norway analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.