1X Haiti or draw
49.5 %
Haiti
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 14, 2026 · 03:00
Scotland
Model favorite Scotland win 50.5 %
FavoriteScotland
Confidence score54.8 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Haiti win | 28.17 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.35 % |
| Scotland win | 50.48 % |
Clear 22.3-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
68.6 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 68.6 %
Under 2.5 31.4 %
67.5 % BTTS
Yes 67.5 %
No 32.5 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Scotland
71.8 %
12 Either team wins
78.7 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Haiti 12.9 % · Scotland 22.5 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Haiti 35.8 % · Scotland 64.2 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Haiti 10.0 % · Scotland 19.6 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Haiti 12.8 % · Scotland 29.5 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-2 9.08 %
- 1-1 8.87 %
- 2-2 6.78 %
- 2-1 6.62 %
- 1-3 6.19 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-2 (9.08%); next scenarios: 1-1 (8.87%), 2-2 (6.78%).
Elo context
Haiti1646
Scotland1752
Elo gap of 106 points in favour of Scotland (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Haiti vs Scotland analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.