1X Haiti or draw
50.8 %
Haiti
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 14, 2026 · 03:00
Scotland
Model favorite Scotland win 49.2 %
FavoriteScotland
Confidence score48.5 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Haiti win | 28.88 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21.96 % |
| Scotland win | 49.16 % |
Clear 20.3-point lead for the most likely scenario.
Goal trends
66.1 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 66.1 %
Under 2.5 33.9 %
65.8 % BTTS
Yes 65.8 %
No 34.2 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Scotland
71.1 %
12 Either team wins
78.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Haiti 14.2 % · Scotland 23.3 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Haiti 37.0 % · Scotland 63.0 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Haiti 10.9 % · Scotland 20.0 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Haiti 13.1 % · Scotland 28.0 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 9.42 %
- 1-2 9.18 %
- 2-1 6.86 %
- 2-2 6.69 %
- 0-1 6.47 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (9.42%); next scenarios: 1-2 (9.18%), 2-1 (6.86%).
Elo context
Haiti1646
Scotland1740
Elo gap of 94 points in favour of Scotland (moderate).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Haiti vs Scotland analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.