1X Ghana or draw
42.7 %
Ghana
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 18, 2026 · 01:00
Panama
Model favorite Panama win 57.3 %
FavoritePanama
Confidence score59.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Ghana win | 19.64 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.05 % |
| Panama win | 57.31 % |
Dominant scenario: 34.3-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
51.6 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 51.6 %
Under 2.5 48.4 %
51.0 % BTTS
Yes 51.0 %
No 49.0 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Panama
80.4 %
12 Either team wins
77.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Ghana 16.6 % · Panama 38.8 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Ghana 25.5 % · Panama 74.5 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Ghana 10.2 % · Panama 32.4 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Ghana 6.7 % · Panama 32.7 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 0-1 11.59 %
- 1-1 10.96 %
- 0-2 10.39 %
- 1-2 9.83 %
- 0-0 6.46 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 0-1 (11.59%); next scenarios: 1-1 (10.96%), 0-2 (10.39%).
Elo context
Ghana1608
Panama1773
Elo gap of 165 points in favour of Panama (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Ghana vs Panama analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.