1X Germany or draw
76.9 %
Germany
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 20, 2026 · 22:00
Ivory Coast
Model favorite Germany win 53.9 %
FavoriteGermany
Confidence score54.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Germany win | 53.87 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.05 % |
| Ivory Coast win | 23.08 % |
Dominant scenario: 30.8-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
55.7 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 55.7 %
Under 2.5 44.3 %
55.9 % BTTS
Yes 55.9 %
No 44.1 %
Reading: open-match lean (Over 2.5 majority), both teams expected to score.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Ivory Coast
46.1 %
12 Either team wins
77.0 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Germany 33.1 % · Ivory Coast 16.4 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Germany 70.0 % · Ivory Coast 30.0 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Germany 27.7 % · Ivory Coast 10.9 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Germany 30.4 % · Ivory Coast 8.7 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-1 10.84 %
- 1-0 9.81 %
- 2-1 9.81 %
- 2-0 8.88 %
- 0-1 5.99 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-1 (10.84%); next scenarios: 1-0 (9.81%), 2-1 (9.81%).
Elo context
Germany1950
Ivory Coast1814
Elo gap of 136 points in favour of Germany (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Germany vs Ivory Coast analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.