1X Germany or draw
80.4 %
Germany
VS
FIFA World Cup 2026
June 20, 2026 · 22:00
Ivory Coast
Model favorite Germany win 57.9 %
FavoriteGermany
Confidence score59.9 %
StabilityRisk
Foresportia statistical estimates — a reading aid, not odds or a guaranteed outcome.
1X2 probabilities
| Germany win | 57.91 % |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.48 % |
| Ivory Coast win | 19.61 % |
Dominant scenario: 35.4-point lead over the next.
Goal trends
54.0 % Over 2.5
Over 2.5 54.0 %
Under 2.5 46.0 %
52.8 % BTTS
Yes 52.8 %
No 47.2 %
No clear goal trend: balanced markets.
Double chance
Overlapping markets — read each probability on its own; they do not add up.
X2 Draw or Ivory Coast
42.1 %
12 Either team wins
77.5 %
Advanced analysis
Clean sheet · Draw no bet · strong scenarios
Clean sheet — no goal conceded
Germany 37.5 % · Ivory Coast 15.6 %
Draw no bet — stake returned on draw
Germany 74.7 % · Ivory Coast 25.3 %
Win to nil — win without conceding
Germany 31.6 % · Ivory Coast 9.8 %
Win by 2+ goals — margin ≥ 2
Germany 33.6 % · Ivory Coast 6.8 %
Likely scores (Top 5)
- 1-0 10.87 %
- 1-1 10.66 %
- 2-0 10.09 %
- 2-1 9.90 %
- 3-0 6.25 %
Most frequent scenario across our simulations: 1-0 (10.87%); next scenarios: 1-1 (10.66%), 2-0 (10.09%).
Elo context
Germany1937
Ivory Coast1765
Elo gap of 171 points in favour of Germany (significant).
Match FAQ
How should I read the Germany vs Ivory Coast analysis?
The analysis combines 1X2 probabilities, goal trends, likely score and the stability badge to provide a structured reading of the match, without promising a certain result.
What does the stability badge mean for this match?
The badge summarizes how historically reliable the detected scenario is in Foresportia's model. It helps separate fragile signals from statistically clearer matches.
Are these probabilities bookmaker odds?
No. Foresportia probabilities are model-based estimates. They are not betting odds and they are not an incentive to gamble.